Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000271 0.000303 0.000338 0.000379 0.000425 0.000476 0.000536
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000206 0.000251 0.000304 0.000372 0.000456 0.000557 0.000690
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000173 0.000224 0.000289 0.000377 0.000495 0.000648 0.000865
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000150 0.000204 0.000276 0.000380 0.000528 0.000732 0.001039
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000126 0.000179 0.000252 0.000363 0.000528 0.000768 0.001150
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000113 0.000167 0.000244 0.000365 0.000554 0.000842 0.001325
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000162 0.000245 0.000381 0.000602 0.000955 0.001575
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000095 0.000149 0.000232 0.000373 0.000611 0.001005 0.001728
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000134 0.000215 0.000355 0.000600 0.001021 0.001823
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000128 0.000211 0.000360 0.000628 0.001104 0.002050
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000127 0.000214 0.000377 0.000679 0.001236 0.002387
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000119 0.000206 0.000371 0.000687 0.001290 0.002578
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000113 0.000200 0.000370 0.000706 0.001368 0.002837
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000106 0.000191 0.000363 0.000712 0.001423 0.003059
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000102 0.000189 0.000368 0.000743 0.001533 0.003422
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000098 0.000185 0.000371 0.000771 0.001639 0.003793
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000090 0.000173 0.000354 0.000754 0.001647 0.003929
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000087 0.000170 0.000356 0.000778 0.001748 0.004316
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000086 0.000174 0.000371 0.000835 0.001935 0.004956
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000081 0.000167 0.000364 0.000837 0.001989 0.005254
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000075 0.000156 0.000346 0.000813 0.001977 0.005366
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000073 0.000154 0.000351 0.000843 0.002104 0.005901
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000073 0.000158 0.000367 0.000906 0.002328 0.006765